Instant Analysis: Dany Jumps Ship To Swim With The Sharks
The Heatley Saga is finally over. (…At least until he demands another trade.)
The Trade: The Ottawa Senators trade LW Dany Heatley and a 5th round pick to the San Jose Sharks in exchange for LW Milan Michalek, RW Jonathan Cheechoo, and a 2nd round pick.
Ottawa Senators Acquisitions:
Milan Michalek
The 24-year-old Michalek is the most integral player coming back Ottawa’s way in the deal. He had an impressive breakout year in 06-07, posting 26 goals and 40 assists for 66 points. Off the strength of that season, he signed a long-term extension with the Sharks, paying him 4.33 annually, which extends for the next five seasons. He has since failed to repeat his productive contract year, scoring 55 and 57 points since then. Michalek is only 24, and a change of scenery could bode well for the young left winger as he enters his prime. He should jump right onto the top line, alongside Spezza and Alfredsson, on a trio that will be among the most feared in the Eastern Conference. Michalek is a consistent point-producer and should be an excellent fit on an Ottawa squad that already boasts established stars, much like the San Jose teams Michalek has competed for.
Jonathan Cheechoo
The Moose Factory Ontario native is best known for his 56-goal year, riding on the coattails of Joe Thornton. Cheechoo has not since approached duplicating his 05-06 mark, and he will likely linger in the shadow of his one monstrous year until he retires. Cheechoo’s production has steadily declined since his big year, including a 12-goal, 29-point output this past season. While he may be a pleasant surprise in Ottawa, there also exists the chance that he will frustrate fans and teammates in the nation’s capital with his inability to bring his game back up to it’s former level. His contract, worth 3 million per season, expires in two years, so the Sens can let “Cheech” go if he fails to return to form.
From the Sens standpoint, the deal rids them of Headache Heatley, adds a consistent point producer in Michalek, and a low-risk/high-reward player in Jonathan Cheechoo. The move upgrades their depth, and gives them a more well-rounded top-6. Although losing Heatley’s skill will hurt, Ottawa is better off long-term without the irritable winger.
San Jose Sharks Acquisition:
Dany Heatley
Very few players in the National Hockey League have the ability to break the 50-goal barrier, and it is a feat that Dany Heatley has built his career on, scoring 50 in consecutive years in 05-06 and 06-07. He is one of the purest shooters in the game, who possesses a frighteningly quick release, and perhaps the best one-timer in the NHL. He dominates with his shot and his nose for scoring areas, and tends to let his linemates lug the puck. He won’t have to adapt much, moving from a line with Jason Spezza to a line with likely Joe Thornton. Like Spezza, Thornton is a puck-control wizard who has a knack for setting up teammates. Thornton’s assist totals since the lockout are scary, as he has recorded 72, 92, 67, and 61. Joe has posted these totals without the benefit of a truly elite goal scorer on his wing at any point in his stint with the Sharks. Heatley will be counted on for his goal-scoring ability and he will get his wish, becoming once again a fixture on his team’s #1 powerplay unit.
While the Sharks have lost depth, they’ve gained a goal-scorer who, when at his best, is among the elite in the world at his position. He has the ability to dominate games, which neither Cheechoo or Michalek can do.
As good as Heatley is, this is a risky pickup for San Jose, as Heatley (as we now know very well) is not easy to move, and still must approve any trade. At 7.5 per year, he is the highest paid Shark and owns the longest contract on the club. In other words, if Dany doesn’t fit in San Jose, Doug Wilson could have an ordeal on his hands.
Verdict
When you consider the previous offer that Bryan Murray had agreed to, which included Dustin Penner, Andrew Cogliano, and Ladislav Smid coming Ottawa’s way, it appears that Murray’s club has benefited from Heatley’s unwillingness to move to Edmonton.
Ladislav Smid is a prospect with limited potential, who would have joined a Sens blueline that is already well-stocked with defense prospects. The 2nd round pick could prove more fruitful for Ottawa than Smid.
Milan Michalek is a far better left winger than Dustin Penner, while both players are paid virtually the same money. (Michalek makes 4.33, Penner makes 4.25). Michalek has scored better than 55 points in his three most recent seasons, while Penner has never broken 50 points.
Cogliano would have been a more valuable pick-up for Ottawa, seeing as their centre ice depth isn’t spectacular. The defensive-minded Mike Fisher is Ottawa’s second line pivot, with not much beneath him. However, Jonathan Cheechoo has produced in the past has the talent to once again break the 25-goal, 60-point plateau with his new club.
For San Jose, this deal symbolizes their desperation to overcome the playoff troubles that have been plaguing the organization for several years now. After a first round ousting by the Anaheim Ducks this past April, Doug Wilson promised changes, and the Heatley acquisition is the promise being fulfilled. The hope is for a third offensive superstar to re-ignite the Sharks, and to take the focus off of Thornton and Marleau. Both players have been labelled as playoff chokes for their team’s inability to succeed in the post-season.
As for cap impact, Cheechoo and Michalek’s combined salaries total 7.33 million, as compared to Heatley’s 7.5. Even though neither team’s cap status changes much with this trade, San Jose has lost depth on a forward group that is already hurting for bodies. As it stands now, one version of San Jose’s projected lineup reveals that their forward group doesn’t quite have the depth to sustain one or more injuries to their top-6.
The debate over which team wins this deal is not a landslide argument — this usually means that both sides got a good deal. On paper, the trade appears fair, with Ottawa getting a better return than many expected.
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thats true, but if heatley just kept his mouth shut and not been so public, we could have gotten so much more (eg. 1st round picks, very good roster players, AND top prospects)… i'm not sold on this deal at all
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