Predicting The 09-10 Western Conference Standings
No, we aren’t going to begin with the seemingly-obligatory apologetic disclaimer. These are the official pre-season predictions and we stand by them.
***Please note: Pre-season predictions are among the most difficult prognostications for hockey media types. Should the following order not pan out in reality as displayed below, this article will be removed from our archives and subject to permanent deletion.
Please also consider that two seasons ago, when the Montreal Canadiens finished 1st in their conference, they were picked by major publications to finish 14th.
That’s right, 14th.
1. San Jose
The addition of Dany Heatley makes the Sharks an even more dangerous team. The Heatley-Thornton connection promises to be one of the more entertaining duos around the league. With one Presidents Trophy under their belt, the Sharks are poised to be the best regular season team in the Western Conference for a second consecutive year. Now if they could only carry their regular season success into the post-season…
2. Chicago
Last season, the Blackhawks enjoyed their first taste of the NHL playoffs since the 2001-02 season, reaching the Western Conference finals before losing to the Red Wings. In the offseason, the Hawks lost their most productive forward Martin Havlat, but added 40 goal-scorer Marian Hossa and checking centre John Madden. Keith, Barker, Seabrook, Toews, and “20-Cent” Kane are still on the upswing towards their primes. The Hawks will be a force to contend with in the West. Look for them to sizzle after Christmas and win their first ever Central Division title.
3. Vancouver
The Canucks added powerplay quarterback Mathieu Schneider, as well as defencemen Christian Ehrhoff and Brad Lukowich in a matter of minutes on August 28th. Sergei Shirokov and Mikael Samuelsson will supplement the offense which is led by the Sedins and Ryan Kesler. With depth at all positions and a healthy Roberto Luongo, the Canucks will sit atop the Northwest all season.
4. Anaheim
On the strength of one forward line, the Ducks manhandled the Presidents Trophy-winning San Jose Sharks in the first round of the 2009 playoffs. Off-season acquisitions Saku Koivu and Joffrey Lupul are now a part of one of the best top-6 forward groups in the entire league. The defense won’t be as strong without Pronger, but Ryan Whitney has the skill to step up as a great #2 man with Scott Niedermayer.
5. Detroit
It is hard to imagine the dominant Red Wings not competing for the top of the Western Conference. However, expect Nicklas Lidstrom will finally start showing his age after a string of eight consecutive Norris Trophy nominations. The Wings have played an astonishing 336 games in the past three seasons, which has to put an extreme physical and mental strain on these players. Detroit is still without an elite goaltender, relying on 36-year-old Chris Osgood for another campaign. In addition, the once woeful Central Division has become very strong around the Red Wings. The odds are stacked against this team for the upcoming season, but they will find a way into the playoffs.
6. Calgary
While Calgary will still be dangerous with the additions of Olli Jokinen and Jay Bouwmeester, don’t overestimate this team. Their forward talent drops off significantly after Iginla and Jokinen, so the Flames will need one of the young wingers to take a major step forward. Come playoff time, teams with one dynamic forward unit are most easily targeted, meaning the Flames won’t have the depth to reach the dance.
7. St. Louis
The Blues finished a surprising 6th in the Conference last season, even without their top defenceman Erik Johnson. The Central division will be as tough as ever, but the Blues emerging young talent is ready after years of development and rebuilding. Backes, Berglund, Oshie and Perron provide top-flight secondary scoring behind Kariya, Boyes and McDonald. Providing that Chris Mason can have another stellar season, expect the Blues to return to the post-season in 2009-10.
8. Dallas
The Stars were expected to be a good hockey team in 2008-09 after reaching the Conference Finals in 2007-08. Instead, they suffered through a particularly poor season and finished 23rd in the league in points. Consider last year an anomaly. While the Stars won’t be considered contenders, they will make it to the post-season with the help of a healthy Brendan Morrow, and the breakout young talent of Loui Eriksson and Fabian Brunnstrom. Marty Turco will be the difference for this club, as he tries his darndest to play his way onto Team Canada.
9. Columbus
The Blue Jackets rode rookie Steve Mason’s stellar season into the playoffs last season, before a 4-0 exit at the hands of the Red Wings. Mason will be hard-pressed to duplicate his 10 shutouts from last year. Even with talented rookie Nikita Filatov in the lineup this team will need another year of development, and a better-than-rotten defense core to vault themselves into the playoffs for consecutive seasons.
10. Minnesota
The Wild were close last year, finishing only two points out of the playoff race. During the offseason, they said goodbye to injury prone star Marian Gaborik. In his place, they brought in another injury prone player, Martin Havlat. Havlat led the very talented Blackhawks in scoring last year, and if he can stay healthy he will do well in Minnesota. However, there is not enough talent on D or up front for Minnesota to topple the top teams in their conference. They will look like a playoff-bound club, but will eventually fall short.
11. Edmonton
Many are citing Pat Quinn as the reason the Oilers will return to the playoffs, based on the respect factor and his ability to get the most from his players. Quinn will have his hands full with this roster, though. Ales Hemsky is no better than his point totals indicate, Shawn Horcoff is not a #1 centre and Dustin Penner will never live up to expectations. Ales Hemsky led the Oilers with 66 points last season, and Sheldon Souray finished second in team scoring. The team has no true identity in an always-competitive Northwest Division. Edmonton’s only hope is for Sam Gagner to have a tremendous growth year, and hope that Nikolai Khabibulin steals a lot of games.
12. Nashville
The Predators ended their run of four consecutive post-season appearances in 2009. While this Nashville team does have a great young D core and a solid goaltending duo in Dan Ellis and Pekka Rinne, they simply don’t have the depth or offense to make it to the playoffs. Too many obscure players and not enough talent in their top-six. Colin Wilson could have a strong first season, which would up the chances of playoff hockey in Nashville, but don’t bet on that happening.
13. Los Angeles
It seems that every year is slated as the King’s breakout season – the season when their prospects and undeveloped talent will finally pull through and deliver. Unfortunately, this too is not the year, and Kings fans will have to suffer through another year of mediocrity. Despite the additions of Ryan Smyth, Rob Scuderi, and a full season of Justin Williams, LA’s overall roster doesn’t stack up with the contenders.
14. Colorado
With the retirement of Joe Sakic, the Avalanche really have no hope for success in the upcoming season. Their defense is porous, featuring the league’s worst plus/minus d-man, Scott Hannan, and Craig Anderson will be counted on to turn the goaltending around. They will look at this campaign as a rebuilding phase, and already have solid young talent with the likes of Wojtek Wolski, Paul Stastny, Kyle Quincey, and Matt Duchene.
15. Phoenix
The ongoing controversy surrounding the Coyotes will take a toll on the team this year, and they will struggle to keep their minds on the ice and out of the courts. The forward unit is largely comprised of Shane Doan and a crop of 2nd and 3rd line performers. The D is just as inadequate, and goaltending is middle of the pack. Don’t expect much good news out of Phoenix this year. The Yotes should hope for steps forward from their youngsters, and hope for a fresh start with committed ownership next year.
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