Hockeycentric Fantasy Focus: Top-Flight Wingers

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By: The Hockeycentric Team October 1, 2009 112 Comments RSS
Kovie and Ovie, two of the game's purest goal-scoring wingers, taking it easy during All-Star weekend. Photo: Bruce Bennett/Getty Images

In part two of our fantasy series, we move on to wingers.

While some leagues require a certain number of left and right wingers, we will be analyzing all wingers here, and depending on your draft position the choice will be yours to decide who makes your squad.

Alex Ovechkin’s value as a fantasy player cannot be overstated. The Russian superstar has done nothing but put up points since he played his first NHL game. He has missed only four NHL games in his still-young career, and has amassed 420 points. Consider him a lock to put up over 50 goals and 100 points in the 2009-10 season. That’s the safe bet. Predicting 55 & 110 for Ovie is really no stretch.

Looking beyond Ovie, there are a number of wingers to draft that will get you points. Zach Parise had a breakout season in 2008-09, and he is expected to put up 40 goals and at least 80 points in the upcoming campaign.

It is difficult to say whether Parise will match last year’s goal total, as many experts have pegged him to slide about 5 goals. Ilya Kovalchuk has recorded 80-90 points for the last five seasons while playing for the dismal Atlanta Thrashers, and even with his -12 mark, he is a valuable pickup.

Below we break down the top-10 wingers available this season across a total of eight categories: Goals, Assists, Points, Penalty Minutes (PIM) Plus-Minus (+/-), Power Play Points (PPP), Hits and Game Winning Goals (GWG).

GOALS (08-09)
56 Alex Ovechkin
47 Zach Parise
43 Ilya Kovalchuk
40 Rick Nash
40 Eric Staal
40 Marian Hossa
40 Thomas Vanek
39 Mike Cammalleri
39 Dany Heatley
39 Patrick Marleau

Hossa will be out until at least November as he recovers from off-season shoulder surgery.

Heatley is now playing on a line with elite playmaker Joe Thornton, so expect his goal total to go up.

Don’t count on another 35+ from Cammalleri, and don’t be surprised if Nash can score 45 with an improved supporting cast.

ASSISTS (08-09)
54 Alex Ovechkin
54 Jarome Iginla
53 Ray Whitney
51 Daniel Sedin
50 Martin St. Louis
50 Vyacheslav Kozlov
50 Daniel Alfredsson
49 Zach Parise
49 J.P. Dumont
48 Ilya Kovalchuk

While Ray Whitney’s assist totals seem exaggerated, he has put up more than 40 assists in a season four times, and playing with Eric Staal can’t hurt.

Kozlov will lose his spot on the top line and powerplay to Brian Little so expect his numbers to drop.

J.P. Dumont has put up more than 40 assists the last three seasons, but nobody in Tennessee seems to care. He is reliable, and is a valuable sleeper pick.

POINTS (08-09)
110 Alex Ovechkin
94 Zach Parise
91 Ilya Kovalchuk
89 Jarome Iginla
82 Mike Cammalleri
82 Daniel Sedin
80 Martin St. Louis
79 Rick Nash
79 Alexander Semin
78 Patrick Elias

Alex Semin was on a tear during the beginning of last season, putting up more points than Ovechkin before being injured. His points per game last year had him on pace to finish in with 102 points over 82 games.

Cammalleri should do well in Montreal, even with two smurfs for linemates in Brian Gionta and Scott Gomez — neither of whom are Jarome Iginla. All of these players are reliable point-getters, so don’t hesitate to draft any of them.

PENALTY MINUTES (08-09)
254 Daniel Carcillo
193 Colton Orr
181 Zack Stortini
180 Jared Boll
176 Eric Boulton
174 Riley Cote
171 Eric Godard
165 David Backes
164 David Clarkson
163 Ian Laperriere

Carcillo is one mean Flyer, and he racks up a ridiculous amount of time in the penalty box. In 07-08, he was relegated to the sin bin for 324 minutes, so his numbers actually dropped last season.

All of the players on this list know how to be bad, and Brian Burke might even say they have the right combination of pugnacity, testosterone, truculence and belligerence.

PLUS/MINUS (08-09)
36 Blake Wheeler
30 Zach Parise
29 Martin Havlat
28 Michael Ryder
27 Marian Hossa
26 Andrew Ladd
25 Alexander Semin
25 Jamie Langenbrunner
24 Daniel Sedin
23 Alex Burrows

Plus-minus is as much about the success of a team compared to an individual player, so if New Jersey, Chicago, Boston, Washington and Vancouver continue to be elite clubs in 09-10, expect these players to be in the top-10 in this category for a second consecutive season.

Of any of these 10, Blake Wheeler is the likeliest to experience a dip in his numbers.

POWERPLAY POINTS (08-09)
46 Alex Ovechkin
43 Vyacheslav Kozlov
42 Nicklas Backstrom
36 Ilya Kovalchuk
35 Brad Boyes
35 Patrick Kane
34 Michael Cammalleri
32 Alexei Kovalev
32 Jarome Iginla
31 Patrick Elias

Elite players get time on the PP, so look for this list to remain consistent as well. Kozlov will likely be demoted to the second powerplay unit, but that’s not a certainty.

Look for Backstrom and Ovechkin to come in as #1 and 2, as the Caps had the second most effective PP percentage last season, and these two are integral components of that unit.

HITS (08-09)
356 Cal Clutterbuck
285 Dustin Brown
265 Ryan Callahan
262 Matt Cooke
262 Milan Lucic
249 Evgeni Artyukhin
243 Alex Ovechkin
228 Tuomo Ruutu
207 Chris Kunitz
204 David Backes

Rookie Cal Clutterbuck burst onto the scene in 08-09 and hit everything that moved. He will only get faster and stronger, so look for him to hit frequently again in 09-10.

Some say that Ovechkin’s body won’t be able to keep up with his rough style of play, but he doesn’t show any signs of slowing down.

GAME WINNING GOALS (08-09)
11 Brad Boyes
10 Petr Sykora
10 Patrick Marleau
10 Alex Ovechkin
8 Zach Parise
8 Marian Hossa
8 Alexander Semin
8 Corey Perry
7 Jamie Langenbrunner
7 Michael Ryder

“When the going gets tough, the tough get going”. Players that can come through in the clutch are invaluable, and are usually consistent from season to season.

Be careful when selecting Petr Sykora, as he won’t be playing with Crosby or Malkin this year, as he has moved on to the Minnesota Wild. However, early reports suggest he has snagged a top-line role, which is more than was expected when he signed late in the free agent season.

It is hard to deny Ovie in almost any category, so expect him to put up 10 game winners for the third consecutive season.

Still to come in Hockeycentric’s Fantasy Focus, we take a look at the best available Defensemen and Goaltenders.

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